The Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series moves from the high-speed two-mile track of Automobile Club Speedway into the 0.5-mile paperclip Trail of Martinsville for Its STP 500.
Last week, Kyle Busch became the first repeat winner of this season and oddsmakers believe he’s primed for a third win in a row since they’ve made him the favorite at +220.
BetOnline has Busch as the favorite at +220 followed by Brad Keselowski at +500, Martin Truex Jr. in +600, Joey Logano in +750 and Denny Hamlin at +1000 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.
Ford cars have won three of the previous four races at Martinsville, including the two runnings there last season.
Joey Logano appears to become the first back-to-back winner in the paperclip since Jimmie Johnson won successive races there in 2012 and 2013.
The pole sitter at Martinsville hasn’t won in the last 11 races dating back to 2013. In eight of the past 11 runnings, the winner qualified fifth or worse.
You might be looking in Kevin Harvick as a value pick at +1600, but the California native has just one win in 35 starts at Martinsville and that success arrived in 2011. He hasn’t finished better than fifth there since that succeed in 2011.
Joey Logano has qualified on the pole in four of the last eight races in the paperclip but only finished on the podium twice during that interval, including the latest conducting in October of last year, he won.
Clint Bowyer won the spring race last year in Martinsville, leading 215 of the 500 laps, and has finished in the top five of his 26 career starts at this track.
Kyle Busch has won two of those last six races at Martinsville and has finished fifth or better in each of the previous seven runnings there. Additionally, he has led the most laps in three of the last six races.
My Very Best Option for your STP 500
Kyle Busch +220
Though it is not a long-shot pick, I think that it’s the smart one. The Nevada native has not finished worse than fifth in any of the previous seven races at Martinsville, including finishing first or second in four of these runnings. He’s carrying a great deal of momentum into this weekend, having won the last two races on this season.
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